kingliveson wrote:BB+ wrote:What are the chances, though, that Vasik is going to comment on this at all? I suppose that, if it reaches the point of a civil suit on the basis of the data obtained in the investigation, that will be the point where he is required to defend. Whether he'll comment on anything that occurs up until that point seems, in my assessment, very unlikely.
This opinion has been voiced, and there appear to be many in agreement. As has the idea that he will avoid the ICGA tribunal particularly on the fear that he might therein self-incriminate himself for a later civil suit.
If the process becomes
in absentia, I suspect the ICGA will still be rather thorough in examining the evidence (to the extent possible w/o a proper dialogue) and deciding what penalties to apply [obviously his failing to show up should result in an indefinite ban -- the questions then would become: what titles (if any) to annul, how strongly to word a recommendation to other entities, and the proper means of publicising the findings].
It makes sense for him not publicly comment or respond to ICGA inquiries especially if there are improprieties that could result in legal matters. That said, does any foresee a scenario where a private and public apology and acknowledgment of misconduct revolves the long debate?
Hard to speculate. We already know what happened from the evidence compiled. And the body of evidence continues to grow. I had not paid much attention to the arguments in light of what has previously been exposed. I became involved again when David asked me to help with the ICGA investigation. For me, it was only about "the search for the truth." We've had rumors and innuendos since the first Rybka came along. The rumors have continued until today. Once I convinced myself what had happened (with respect to fruit/rybka) I had stopped looking. Then along came David, and I joined the secretariat, and then along comes Zach with the pre-fruit rybka based on Crafty revelation, and here we are again.
Personally, I am not going to sue anyone. Clearly Vas violated the Crafty license agreement since it is quite explicit in that any program using any of the Crafty code cannot then participate in any chess event, period. However, with no "physical damages" a legal action is just a way of giving a lot of money to lawyers with no possible remuneration. Not to mention the time involved. I'd as soon make a donation to an attorney and avoid losing the time.
The FSF might look at this differently. And that might be an issue that leads to significant "pain" since one can make a case for financial loss/gain. What will happen there, if anything, is only idle speculation at the moment.
As far as the ICGA goes, again this can only be speculated. The evidence is quite compelling. Two times (two different versions of Rybka) for the same behavior is damning. But what penalty might be imposed? Vacate old wins? Messy as do the titles remain open, or do the other participants move up a slot giving new winners? Lots of paperwork already exists, how would all of that get updated, or would it? Etc. Does this help computer chess? Actually we are doing more damage to computer chess than anything. Or at least the copying and then discovery of same is doing that. What about future competition? How similar is R4 to R1 beta and R3/ip*/etc???
I think the ICGA's decisions are going to be incredibly difficult and far-reaching. One has to balance justice against practicality. I wouldn't venture a guess on what will happen there if they believe the evidence shows guilt substantial enough to warrant some sort of penalty. And I certainly would not want to be charged with defining that penalty, as it won't be an easy thing to deal with...
Fortunately, all we (the secretariat and panel members) have to do is present the evidence clearly and concisely to the ICGA, and then that worry falls on David. I will say that if he contacts me again wanting me to serve on a group to deal with the punitive phase of this, I might be much harder to locate on planet earth.
If you remember the "Apollo 13" movie, when the astronauts are demanding a re-entry plan that does not yet exist, Tom Hanks said something like "you are worrying about step #560 while we are now only on step #17. There's a long way to go.