how many more plies to beat a net ?

As in chess tournaments and matches...
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deeds
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how many more plies to beat a net ?

Post by deeds » Sun Mar 05, 2023 9:40 am

original topic

nn depth + 6 plies

Code: Select all

.# PLAYER.............................. : RATING ERROR POINTS PLAYED .(%) ...W ...D ...L D(%) OppAvg OppN
.1 stockfish 210920 classical d24...... : ...714 ...26 .934.5 ..1600 58.4 .466 .937 .197 58.6 ...652 ...2
.2 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d18 : ...700 ...24 2642.0 ..4800 55.0 1222 2840 .738 59.2 ...664 ...5
.3 stockfish 210920 classical d23...... : ...691 ...27 .779.0 ..1600 48.7 .288 .982 .330 61.4 ...700 ...1
.4 stockfish 210920 classical d22...... : ...659 ...26 .816.0 ..1600 51.0 .342 .948 .310 59.3 ...652 ...2
nn depth + 5 plies

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.5 stockfish 210920 classical d21...... : ...633 ...24 .890.5 ..1600 55.7 .465 .851 .284 53.2 ...588 ...2
.6 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d16 : ...604 ...22 2638.5 ..4800 55.0 1422 2433 .945 50.7 ...565 ...6
.7 stockfish 210920 classical d20...... : ...594 ...26 .673.0 ..1600 42.1 .237 .872 .491 54.5 ...652 ...2
.8 stockfish 210920 classical d19...... : ...554 ...25 1110.5 ..1600 69.4 .844 .533 .223 33.3 ...302 ...2
nn depth + 4 plies

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.9 stockfish 210920 classical d18...... : ...503 ...22 1185.5 ..1600 74.1 .916 .539 .145 33.7 ...238 ...2
10 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d14 : ...476 ...19 2649.0 ..4800 55.2 1527 2244 1029 46.8 ...436 ...6
11 stockfish 210920 classical d17...... : ...470 ...23 .650.5 ..1600 40.7 .257 .787 .556 49.2 ...540 ...2
12 stockfish 210920 classical d16...... : ...397 ...24 .504.0 ..1600 31.5 .178 .652 .770 40.8 ...540 ...2
nn depth + 3 plies

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13 stockfish 210920 classical d15...... : ...338 ...19 .709.5 ..1600 44.3 .352 .715 .533 44.7 ...382 ...2
14 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d12 : ...287 ...14 3276.0 ..4800 68.3 2492 1568 .740 32.7 ...120 ...6
15 stockfish 210920 classical d14...... : ...276 ...20 .584.0 ..1600 36.5 .266 .636 .698 39.8 ...382 ...2
16 stockfish 210920 classical d13...... : ...189 ...16 .886.5 ..1600 55.4 .582 .609 .409 38.1 ...144 ...2
nn depth + 2 plies

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17 stockfish 210920 classical d12...... : ....97 ...15 .710.5 ..1600 44.4 .413 .595 .592 37.2 ...144 ...2
18 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d10 : .....0 ----- 1567.0 ..4800 32.6 .858 1418 2524 29.5 ...194 ...6
19 stockfish 210920 classical d11...... : ...-11 ...15 .513.0 ..1600 32.1 .266 .494 .840 30.9 ...144 ...2
20 stockfish 210920 classical d10...... : ..-169 ...17 .280.5 ..1600 17.5 .104 .353 1143 22.1 ...144 ...2

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White advantage = 47.52 +/- 1.75
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
The same tests with sf nn at fixed d20 to d26 against sf classical at fixed d25 to d39 are coming soon...
Last edited by deeds on Sun Mar 05, 2023 9:44 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: how many more plies to beat a net ?

Post by deeds » Sun Mar 05, 2023 9:43 am

nn depth + 11 plies

Code: Select all

.# PLAYER.............................. : RATING ERROR POINTS PLAYED .(%) ...W ...D ...L D(%) OppAvg OppN
.1 stockfish 210920 classical d39...... : ...135 ...28 .422.5 ...800 52.8 .117 .611 ..72 76.4 ...115 ...1
.2 stockfish 210920 classical d38...... : ...115 ...27 .400.5 ...800 50.1 ..89 .623 ..88 77.9 ...115 ...1
.3 stockfish 210920 classical d37...... : ...115 ...22 .828.5 ..1600 51.8 .225 1207 .168 75.4 ...102 ...2
.4 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d26 : ...115 ...20 2876.5 ..5600 51.4 .755 4243 .602 75.8 ...105 ...7
.5 stockfish 210920 classical d36...... : ...103 ...22 .801.0 ..1600 50.1 .195 1212 .193 75.8 ...102 ...2
.6 stockfish 210920 classical d35...... : ....95 ...22 .783.0 ..1600 48.9 .192 1182 .226 73.9 ...102 ...2
nn depth + 10 plies

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.# PLAYER.............................. : RATING ERROR POINTS PLAYED .(%) ...W ...D ...L D(%) OppAvg OppN
.7 stockfish 210920 classical d34...... : ....94 ...21 .780.5 ..1600 48.8 .191 1179 .230 73.7 ...102 ...2
.8 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d24 : ....90 ...17 2817.0 ..5600 50.3 .762 4110 .728 73.4 ....88 ...7
.9 stockfish 210920 classical d33...... : ....78 ...22 .746.0 ..1600 46.6 .146 1200 .254 75.0 ...102 ...2
10 stockfish 210920 classical d32...... : ....72 ...15 .860.0 ..1600 53.8 .308 1104 .188 69.0 ....45 ...2
nn depth + 9 plies

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.# PLAYER.............................. : RATING ERROR POINTS PLAYED .(%) ...W ...D ...L D(%) OppAvg OppN
11 stockfish 210920 classical d31...... : ....58 ...16 .765.0 ..1600 47.8 .197 1136 .267 71.0 ....73 ...2
12 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d22 : ....57 ...10 3096.0 ..5600 55.3 1206 3780 .614 67.5 ....18 ...7
13 stockfish 210920 classical d30...... : ....46 ...13 .839.5 ..1600 52.5 .288 1103 .209 68.9 ....28 ...2
14 stockfish 210920 classical d29...... : ....38 ...13 .822.0 ..1600 51.4 .275 1094 .231 68.4 ....28 ...2
15 stockfish 210920 classical d28...... : ....12 ...14 .764.5 ..1600 47.8 .218 1093 .289 68.3 ....28 ...2
nn depth + 7 plies

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.# PLAYER.............................. : RATING ERROR POINTS PLAYED .(%) ...W ...D ...L D(%) OppAvg OppN
16 stockfish 210920 classical d27...... : ....11 ...13 .761.5 ..1600 47.6 .225 1073 .302 67.1 ....28 ...2
17 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d20 : .....0 ----- 2641.0 ..5600 47.2 .760 3762 1078 67.2 ....21 ...7
18 stockfish 210920 classical d26...... : ....-9 ...13 .717.5 ..1600 44.8 .200 1035 .365 64.7 ....28 ...2
19 stockfish 210920 classical d25...... : ...-27 ...14 .677.5 ..1600 42.3 .156 1043 .401 65.2 ....28 ...2

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White advantage = 53.91 +/- 1.73
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
One day i will try to connect the 2 testsets but at the moment i'm busy.

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deeds
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Re: how many more plies to beat a net ?

Post by deeds » Sun Mar 05, 2023 9:48 am

In order to connect the 2 previous tests :

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                                  :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)     W     D    L  D(%)  OppAvg  OppN
   1 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d28    :       0   ----  4413.0    5600  78.8  3382  2062  156  36.8    -339     7
   2 stockfish 210920 classical d38          :     -11     17   387.5     800  48.4    77   621  102  77.6       0     1
   3 stockfish 210920 classical d39          :     -14     17   384.5     800  48.1    76   617  107  77.1       0     1
   4 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d18    :    -223     21   182.0     800  22.8     1   362  437  45.3       0     1
   5 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d16    :    -312     24   121.5     800  15.2     2   239  559  29.9       0     1
   6 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d14    :    -412     29    74.0     800   9.3     0   148  652  18.5       0     1
   7 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d12    :    -589     47    29.0     800   3.6     0    58  742   7.3       0     1
   8 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d10    :    -809     92     8.5     800   1.1     0    17  783   2.1       0     1

White advantage = 73.08 +/- 4.59
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
So finally, it shows something like this :

Code: Select all

   # PLAYER                               :  RATING  ERROR  POINTS  PLAYED   (%)     W     D     L  D(%)  OppAvg  OppN

   1 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d28 :     895     22  4413.0    5600  78.8  3382  2062   156  36.8     544     7

   2 stockfish 210920 classical d39       :     887     28   807.0    1600  50.4   193  1228   179  76.8     884     2
   3 stockfish 210920 classical d38       :     878     28   788.0    1600  49.3   166  1244   190  77.8     884     2
   4 stockfish 210920 classical d37       :     873     31   828.5    1600  51.8   225  1207   168  75.4     860     2
   5 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d26 :     872     29  2876.5    5600  51.4   755  4243   602  75.8     862     7

   6 stockfish 210920 classical d36       :     860     32   801.0    1600  50.1   195  1212   193  75.8     860     2
   7 stockfish 210920 classical d35       :     852     31   783.0    1600  48.9   192  1182   226  73.9     860     2
   8 stockfish 210920 classical d34       :     851     32   780.5    1600  48.8   191  1179   230  73.7     860     2
   9 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d24 :     847     30  2817.0    5600  50.3   762  4110   728  73.4     845     7
  10 stockfish 210920 classical d33       :     835     32   746.0    1600  46.6   146  1200   254  75.0     860     2

  11 stockfish 210920 classical d32       :     830     34   860.0    1600  53.8   308  1104   188  69.0     802     2
  12 stockfish 210920 classical d31       :     815     34   765.0    1600  47.8   197  1136   267  71.0     831     2
  13 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d22 :     814     36  3096.0    5600  55.3  1206  3780   614  67.5     776     7
  14 stockfish 210920 classical d30       :     804     38   839.5    1600  52.5   288  1103   209  68.9     786     2
  15 stockfish 210920 classical d29       :     796     37   822.0    1600  51.4   275  1094   231  68.4     786     2
  16 stockfish 210920 classical d28       :     770     37   764.5    1600  47.8   218  1093   289  68.3     786     2

  17 stockfish 210920 classical d27       :     769     37   761.5    1600  47.6   225  1073   302  67.1     786     2
  18 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d20 :     758     35  2641.0    5600  47.2   760  3762  1078  67.2     778     7
  19 stockfish 210920 classical d26       :     749     37   717.5    1600  44.8   200  1035   365  64.7     786     2
  20 stockfish 210920 classical d25       :     730     37   677.5    1600  42.3   156  1043   401  65.2     786     2

  21 stockfish 210920 classical d24       :     703     24   934.5    1600  58.4   466   937   197  58.6     641     2
  22 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d18 :     688     22  2824.0    5600  50.4  1223  3202  1175  57.2     687     6
  23 stockfish 210920 classical d23       :     679     25   779.0    1600  48.7   288   982   330  61.4     688     1
  24 stockfish 210920 classical d22       :     649     24   816.0    1600  51.0   342   948   310  59.3     641     2

  25 stockfish 210920 classical d21       :     625     23   890.5    1600  55.7   465   851   284  53.2     580     2
  26 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d16 :     594     21  2760.0    5600  49.3  1424  2672  1504  47.7     604     7
  27 stockfish 210920 classical d20       :     583     24   673.0    1600  42.1   237   872   491  54.5     641     2
  28 stockfish 210920 classical d19       :     546     23  1110.5    1600  69.4   844   533   223  33.3     297     2

  29 stockfish 210920 classical d18       :     500     22  1185.5    1600  74.1   916   539   145  33.7     236     2
  30 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d14 :     473     18  2723.0    5600  48.6  1527  2392  1681  42.7     498     7
  31 stockfish 210920 classical d17       :     464     23   650.5    1600  40.7   257   787   556  49.2     533     2
  32 stockfish 210920 classical d16       :     391     22   504.0    1600  31.5   178   652   770  40.8     533     2

  33 stockfish 210920 classical d15       :     337     19   709.5    1600  44.3   352   715   533  44.7     380     2
  34 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d12 :     288     13  3305.0    5600  59.0  2492  1626  1482  29.0     230     7
  35 stockfish 210920 classical d14       :     275     19   584.0    1600  36.5   266   636   698  39.8     380     2
  36 stockfish 210920 classical d13       :     189     15   886.5    1600  55.4   582   609   409  38.1     144     2

  37 stockfish 210920 classical d12       :      97     15   710.5    1600  44.4   413   595   592  37.2     144     2
  38 stockfish 210920 nn-03744f8d56d8 d10 :       0   ----  1575.5    5600  28.1   858  1435  3307  25.6     292     7
  39 stockfish 210920 classical d11       :     -12     15   513.0    1600  32.1   266   494   840  30.9     144     2
  40 stockfish 210920 classical d10       :    -169     17   280.5    1600  17.5   104   353  1143  22.1     144     2

White advantage = 52.27 +/- 1.17
Draw rate (equal opponents) = 50.00 % +/- 0.00
To beat the net nn-03744f8d56d8 :
- at d10 we need 2 more plies (classsical d12)
- at d16 we need 5 more plies (classsical d21)
- at d22 we need 10 more plies (classsical d32)
- etc

About the net nn-03744f8d56d8 at d28, i expect 15 or 16 more plies (classical d43 or d44)...

elo gain vds depth+5 plies

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